Bio-based Aviation Fuel Market, Global Outlook and Forecast 2023-2029

In Business Insights
September 08, 2025

The global Bio-based Aviation Fuel Market is experiencing unprecedented growth, driven by increasing environmental regulations and the aviation industry’s commitment to achieving net-zero emissions. According to the latest market analysis, the sector is projected to grow at a steady pace, with major airlines and governments worldwide adopting sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) initiatives. While technological advancements are accelerating production, cost competitiveness remains a significant hurdle for widespread adoption.

Bio-based aviation fuel represents a transformative shift in the aviation sector, offering up to 80% lower lifecycle carbon emissions compared to conventional jet fuel. Its compatibility with existing aircraft engines without modifications makes it a highly viable solution for decarbonization. Recent investments from global energy leaders and strategic partnerships with airlines underscore the growing momentum toward sustainable aviation solutions.

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Market Overview & Regional Analysis

North America leads the bio-based aviation fuel market, supported by robust government mandates like the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard and California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard. Europe follows closely, with the EU’s ReFuelEU Aviation initiative mandating a 2% SAF blend by 2025, escalating to 70% by 2050. Asia-Pacific shows strong potential, particularly in Japan and Singapore, where pilot projects for SAF adoption are gaining traction despite nascent infrastructure.

Middle Eastern countries are also entering the market, leveraging their expertise in fuel refining to transition toward greener alternatives. Africa and Latin America remain untapped markets, though Brazil’s sugarcane-based ethanol potential positions it as a future SAF production hub.

Key Market Drivers and Opportunities

The market is primarily driven by stringent emission norms, with the International Air Transport Association (IATA) targeting net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. Airlines worldwide are increasingly signing long-term SAF supply agreements, demonstrating industry-wide commitment. CORSIA (Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation) further mandates emission reductions, creating sustained demand.

Opportunities abound in feedstock diversification, including advanced waste-to-fuel pathways and novel algae-based solutions. The military aviation sector also presents significant growth potential, with several armed forces incorporating SAF to enhance operational sustainability. Furthermore, rising corporate sustainability commitments are driving demand for SAF in business aviation.

Challenges & Restraints

Despite strong growth indicators, the bio-based aviation fuel market faces substantial barriers. High production costs—currently 2-4 times conventional jet fuel prices—limit widespread adoption. Feedstock availability and supply chain complexities create additional bottlenecks, while certification processes remain time-intensive. Geopolitical factors and competing demands for sustainable feedstocks in other industries further challenge market expansion.

Market Segmentation by Type

  • HEFA-SPK
  • FT-SPK
  • ATJ-SPK
  • Co-processing
  • Others

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Market Segmentation by Application

  • Civil Aviation
  • Military Aviation

Market Segmentation and Key Players

  • Neste
  • TotalEnergies
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy
  • Gevo
  • Red Rock Biofuels
  • SG Preston
  • Velocys
  • LanzaTech
  • SkyNRG
  • World Energy
  • Repsol
  • Aemetis
  • BP
  • Eni
  • Sinopec

Report Scope

This report offers a comprehensive analysis of the global and regional bio-based aviation fuel markets, covering the period from 2024 to 2032. It provides detailed insights into current market status and future projections, with specific focus on:

  • Sales volume, revenue forecasts, and pricing analysis

  • Segmentation by fuel type and application

Additionally, the report features in-depth profiles of leading industry participants, including:

  • Company profiles and market positioning

  • Production capacities and expansion plans

  • Financial performance and strategic initiatives

The competitive analysis identifies key market players and examines factors influencing growth trajectories. It also highlights technological innovations and regulatory developments shaping the industry landscape.

Our research methodology included extensive interviews with bio-based aviation fuel producers, airline operators, and policy makers. The study covered:

  • Demand patterns and adoption trends

  • Technological advancements in production processes

  • Policy frameworks and incentive programs

  • Challenges in commercialization and scale-up

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