Global Renewable Fuel Market Research Report 2024(Status and Outlook)

In Business Insights
June 28, 2025

The global renewable fuel market continues to demonstrate robust expansion, reaching a valuation of US$ 178.3 billion in 2024. According to comprehensive market analysis, the sector is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.4%, achieving approximately US$ 289.6 billion by 2030. This growth trajectory reflects accelerating global demand for sustainable energy alternatives and aggressive decarbonization policies across major economies.

Renewable fuels – including biofuels, hydrogen fuel, and processed engineered fuel – are transforming energy systems worldwide. Unlike traditional fossil fuels, these sustainable alternatives significantly reduce carbon footprints while offering comparable energy efficiency. Recent technological breakthroughs in biofuel processing and hydrogen electrolysis are further strengthening their commercial viability across transportation and industrial applications.

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Market Overview & Regional Analysis

North America currently leads in renewable fuel adoption, accounting for 32.6% of global market share, driven by the United States’ Renewable Fuel Standard program and Canada’s Clean Fuel Regulations. The region’s US$ 58.2 billion market in 2024 reflects substantial investments in biofuel plants and hydrogen infrastructure.

Europe follows closely with stringent RED III (Renewable Energy Directive) targets mandating 42.5% renewable energy in transport by 2030. The Asia-Pacific region shows the fastest growth potential, particularly in countries like China and India where government policies actively promote ethanol blending and sustainable aviation fuels. Emerging economies in Latin America and Africa are gradually implementing renewable fuel frameworks, though infrastructure limitations currently constrain market penetration.

Key Market Drivers and Opportunities

Three fundamental forces propel the renewable fuel revolution: global decarbonization commitments, energy security concerns, and technological innovation. The transportation sector accounts for 68% of current demand, driven by airline industry commitments to SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) and shipping sector decarbonization mandates.

Significant opportunities exist in scaling next-generation biofuels from non-food feedstocks like algae and agricultural waste. The hydrogen fuel segment is poised for explosive growth, particularly in heavy industries and long-haul transport where electrification proves challenging. Recent policy developments like the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act’s clean fuel production tax credits are accelerating private sector investment across the value chain.

Challenges & Restraints

The renewable fuel sector faces multiple headwinds, including feedstock price volatility, inconsistent policy frameworks across jurisdictions, and high capital intensity for advanced biofuel projects. Transportation and storage limitations for hydrogen fuel remain technical hurdles, while competition for agricultural feedstocks raises sustainability concerns.

Trade disputes over renewable fuel standards, such as the ongoing EU-US debates about crop-based biofuel sustainability criteria, create market uncertainties. Furthermore, the intermittent nature of renewable electricity for hydrogen production impacts cost competitiveness against conventional fuels in price-sensitive markets.

Market Segmentation by Type

  • Biofuel (Ethanol, Biodiesel, Renewable Diesel, SAF)
  • Hydrogen Fuel (Green, Blue, Grey)
  • Processed Engineered Fuel (Refuse-derived fuels)

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Market Segmentation by Application

  • Transportation (Road, Aviation, Marine)
  • Industrial (Manufacturing, Power Generation)
  • Others (Residential, Commercial Heating)

Market Segmentation – Key Players

  • Neste Oil
  • Renewable Energy Group (REG)
  • Cargill
  • Darling Ingredients
  • Archer Daniels Midland
  • Louis Dreyfus Commodities
  • Pacific Biodiesel
  • HERO BX
  • Biodico
  • Crimson Renewable Energy
  • Green Plains Inc.
  • POET LLC
  • Valero Energy
  • BP Biofuels
  • Shell Renewable

Report Scope

This report provides comprehensive analysis of the global renewable fuels market from 2024 to 2030, featuring:

  • Market size estimates and growth projections by fuel type and application
  • In-depth regional analysis covering North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and emerging markets
  • Value chain evaluation including feedstock sourcing, production technologies, and distribution channels
  • Policy and regulatory landscape analysis across key countries

The research methodology combines:

  • Primary interviews with industry executives and technology providers
  • Plant-level capacity and production analysis
  • Trade flow tracking and price monitoring
  • Techno-economic modeling of emerging fuel pathways

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