Steel Market, Global Outlook and Forecast 2025-2031

In Business Insights
May 29, 2025

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The global Steel Market, valued at $1,214,150 million in 2024, reflects the industry’s critical role in global infrastructure and manufacturing despite a projected slight decline to $1,127,140 million by 2031 (-1.1% CAGR). This market evolution stems from complex dynamics – while Asia-Pacific’s construction boom drives volume, decarbonization pressures and material substitution reshape demand patterns globally.

Steel production follows three primary methods: integrated blast furnace route dominating in China, electric arc furnace recycling prevalent in developed markets, and direct reduction technology gaining traction for lower emissions. The industry’s pivot toward green steel initiatives, particularly in Europe, is accelerating investment in hydrogen-based reduction and carbon capture systems.

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Market Overview & Regional Analysis

Asia-Pacific commands 67% of global steel consumption, with China alone producing over half of world output despite recent production caps. The region’s growth stems from massive infrastructure programs and expanding automotive manufacturing, though overcapacity concerns persist. India emerges as the new growth frontier with ambitious capacity expansion plans targeting 300 MT by 2030.

North America benefits from reshoring trends and infrastructure bills, with the U.S. steel industry revitalized through mini-mill expansions. Europe faces structural challenges as carbon border adjustments reshape trade flows, while green steel premiums begin influencing procurement strategies among OEMs.

Key Market Drivers and Opportunities

Three transformative forces are reshaping the steel landscape: urbanization driving construction demand (particularly in emerging markets), lightweighting trends in automotive (advanced high-strength steel adoption growing at 8% annually), and renewable energy infrastructure needs (wind turbines consuming 150-200 tons of steel per MW).

Breakthrough opportunities exist in value-added products like electrical steel for EV motors (projected 21% CAGR) and digital transformation enabling smart steel plants with 15-20% productivity gains. The decarbonization drive creates premium market segments, with hydrogen-based DRI capacity expected to triple by 2030.

Challenges & Restraints

The industry contends with iron ore and coking coal price volatility (40% price fluctuations in recent quarters), carbon pricing mechanisms adding $50-100/ton to EU production costs, and increasing competition from aluminum and composites in automotive (aluminum use in vehicles grew 45% since 2016).

Trade tensions persist with over 150 steel anti-dumping measures currently in force globally. Technological obsolescence risks loom for traditional blast furnace assets, requiring $1.5 trillion in global investment for low-carbon transition through 2050.

Market Segmentation by Type

  • Carbon Steel
  • Alloy Steel
  • Stainless Steel
  • Tool Steel

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Market Segmentation by Application

  • Construction & Infrastructure
  • Automotive & Transportation
  • Mechanical Equipment
  • Energy (Oil/Gas/Renewables)
  • Consumer Appliances
  • Packaging

Market Key Players

  • China Baowu Group
  • ArcelorMittal
  • Nippon Steel Corporation
  • POSCO Holdings
  • HBIS Group
  • Shagang Group
  • JFE Steel Corporation
  • Tata Steel
  • Nucor Corporation
  • China Steel Corporation

Report Scope

This comprehensive analysis covers the global Steel Market from 2024-2031, providing critical insights into:

  • Market size projections and growth patterns across 20+ countries
  • Detailed product and application segment performance
  • Competitive benchmarking of production capacities and strategies
  • Technology adoption trends in electric furnaces and DRI systems
  • Regulatory impact analysis including CBAM and carbon pricing
  • Supply-demand balance by region and product category

The report combines proprietary data from steel plant inventories with trade flow analysis and demand modeling across 32 end-use industries. Over 150 industry executives were interviewed to validate trends in sustainability investments, capacity rationalizations, and emerging market opportunities.

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About 24chemicalresearch

Founded in 2015, 24chemicalresearch has rapidly established itself as a leader in chemical market intelligence, serving clients including over 30 Fortune 500 companies. We provide data-driven insights through rigorous research methodologies, addressing key industry factors such as government policy, emerging technology, and competitive landscape.

  • Plant-level capacity tracking
  • Real-time price monitoring
  • Techno-economic feasibility studies

With a dedicated team of researchers possessing over a decade of experience, we focus on delivering actionable, timely, and high-quality reports to help clients achieve their strategic goals. Our mission is to be the most trusted resource for market insights in the chemical and materials industry.

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